Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Prediction

ShanghaiHard courtOctober 4, 2026

SetProb predicts Ilia Simakin to win (74% probability) over Luka Pavlovic.

Winner: Ilia SimakinOur pick: Ilia Simakin (74%)Correct
FRA
Luka Pavlovic
Rank #205 Outside Top 200
vs
No H2H
Ilia Simakin
Rank #152 Top 200
RUS
26%Probability: Ilia Simakin74%
ELO
32%68%
H2H
50%50%
H2H Surface
50%50%
Surface
42%58%
Last 10
40%60%
Season Form
45%55%
Our model: 74%·Odds (Kalshi): 67%·Edge: +7%·Market agrees
Probability→ Favor Ilia Simakin (74% prob)Strong signal

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